We are off the 8 line - it really is that simple. Our metrics are closer to a 5 seed. The Q1A and Q1 wins are top 10 in the country. Nearly every metric has this team in the top 20 (which take into account blow outs, losses, etc) almost none at 28-32. Win a game in the BTT should be close to a 5.
I really am struggling to understand this whole marquee win. The resume metrics speak for themselves. Not here to debate it - remarkable resume.
Now if you want to see actual filthy losses take a look at some other teams. All but 2 losses were Q1, and the other 2 were Q2. There’s teams with Q3 losses.
I'm being more of a Debbie downer than you. We had a TERRIBLE stretch in February. It can't be considered anything but bad and even that's being generous. The question is, how much weight, if any, will they put into that disastrous injury/illness stretch? There's no doubt whatsoever that it had a major effect on our season. Could the head of the committee stand up there(if were a 5) and give the rationale that it was driven by illness? How many other teams lost players? I don't think that they'll set that precedent.
Northwestern is a Q1 loss.
0 chance this team gets an 8 seed no matter what happens in the BTT. 7 is the floor, if they made Sunday of the BTT, they could get all the way up to a 4/5 seed. The losses don't look as bad as your making them out to be, and we are top 10 in the country in quad one wins, 6-2 in q2, and zero q3 or 4 losses.
I hear you but I do not (personally, obviously I am not a bracketologist) believe a 4 seed is even in play.I suppose I view 5 as realistic and 4 as our ceiling. But I'd happily win the BTT and get surprised with a 3.
People really need to review the actual objective facts. There isn’t a world where almost any metric let alone the aggregated have them as a 28-32 and 8 seed. Lunardi actually is right - a 6 right now. Could argue a 5 if they take into account injuries. People are really out of touch with reality so I encourage them to review those teams that are on the actual 8 line as well as 5-6 line.
THIS is my takeaway and admittedly, I haven't dug through every schedule. If other schools had a February like us, which Purdue did.....all things are equal.
The NW loss there was no excuse we let a big lead slip away
Have to agree with you regardless of the odd string of illnesses that hit Illinois during this season.
This is soooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo far off.
This was the preface of all of my posts. How is this viewed and none of us have any clue. All things being equal(and they don't take it isn't account).....things get a little dicey with regards to the floor/ceiling.
All of this is already in the metrics. They are much closer to a 5 then an 8 - look at who’s around them. All the data is out there
100% disagree with this. Sorry but no way is a 4 = 3? Playing the 1 after a 4/5 game. Not a chance 3, is way better
The numbers themselves disagree with you, and they aren't taking injuries into account. Every team gets some Q2 losses if you aren't Auburn. Illinois has two. Your mindset is so far off based on reality.
There's no need to rationalize or justify Quad 1 losses. Those are tough games!
too pessimistic. I feel like we are a 6 seed. Even we lose the 1st game of BTT, we are a 7.
No, it doesn’t. The NCAA Tournament Selection Committee has a sorting mechanism for qualifying wins and losses called Quadrants, which are disconnected from who’s a tournament and who isn’t. There are four Quadrants, Quad1, Quad2, Quad3, Quad4.
Let me ask you this because you're putting a ton of weight into the Q1 wins and really nothing into the losses...If we have the 9th most Q1 wins, why would a 7 seed be our floor? What's the metric driving that figure down?
