Bracketology

[SkyysNotFalling]

Also, let's do a blind resume test:

	Team A	Team B	Team C
NET	28	34	44
Kenpom	27	28	44
BPI	16	27	34
Sargarin	26	17	31
T-Rank	26	40	52
Quad 1	5-6	4-7	6-8
Quad 2	3-2	4-2	5-2
Quad 3/4	9-2	10-0	6-1

Rank 'em. Can you guess who is who?

Spoiler: Team A

Rutgers

Spoiler: Team B

Illinois

Spoiler: Team C

Iowa

 

[Homecoming 2019]

Also, let's do a blind resume test:

	Team A	Team B	Team C
NET	28	34	44
Kenpom	27	28	44
BPI	16	27	34
Sargarin	26	17	31
T-Rank	26	40	52
Quad 1	5-6	4-7	6-8
Quad 2	3-2	4-2	5-2
Quad 3/4	9-2	10-0	6-1

Rank 'em. Can you guess who is who?

Spoiler: Team A

Rutgers

Spoiler: Team B

Illinois

Spoiler: Team C

Iowa

We are B, and even without adding in the context that we have 2 top tier Quad 1 wins over UCLA and Texas, we still have a better resume than both of the others. No Quad 3 or 4 losses is a lovely thing.

 

[OnlyOrange]

We are B, and even without adding in the context that we have 2 top tier Quad 1 wins over UCLA and Texas, we still have a better resume than both of the others. No Quad 3 or 4 losses is a lovely thing.

5-7 looks a whole lot better than 4-8 in Q1 games. Let's beat the mildcats tonight...

 

[The Dying Illini]

Also, let's do a blind resume test:

	Team A	Team B	Team C
NET	28	34	44
Kenpom	27	28	44
BPI	16	27	34
Sargarin	26	17	31
T-Rank	26	40	52
Quad 1	5-6	4-7	6-8
Quad 2	3-2	4-2	5-2
Quad 3/4	9-2	10-0	6-1

Rank 'em. Can you guess who is who?

Spoiler: Team A

Rutgers

Spoiler: Team B

Illinois

Spoiler: Team C

Iowa

C = Northwestern
B = Michigan State
A = Illinois

That would be my best guess.

 

[OrangeAndBlueBlooded]

C = Northwestern
B = Michigan State
A = Illinois

That would be my best guess.

0-3

I was 2-1, btw.

 

[Chad Fleck]

I really like the lack of bad losses this year. For all the talk about a low floor and a high ceiling, the floor hasn't been all that low in the results arena.

 

[SkyysNotFalling]

5-7 looks a whole lot better than 4-8 in Q1 games. Let's beat the mildcats tonight...

Tonight is a Quad 2 game. Our game @OSU is a Quad 1 as of today. Both could change, but at worst a 2-0 week gets us to 4-7 Q1, and 6-2 Q2

 

[Bigtex]

Illinois = B
Iowa = C
No clue = A

 

[Mr. Tibbs]

I really like the lack of bad losses this year. For all the talk about a low floor and a high ceiling, the floor hasn't been all that low in the results arena.

 

[Illini in Indiana]

We are lock in the dance after this win!!! So, is NW, but who cares.

 

[ugottabjoshinme]

Rutgers dropped out of top 30 after losing to UM, so our home win against them is now Q2.

 

[SkyysNotFalling]

Just 3 quad 1 wins doesn't feel very good.

 

[Point-Illinois]

Rutgers dropped out of top 30 after losing to UM, so our home win against them is now Q2.

I’m very disappointed in Rutgers.

Michigan is not good, and it was at Rutgers. They better rattle off a win or two to get back in the top 30. They also could have squashed UM’s bubble dreams.

For shame Rutgers, for shame!

 

[IlliniKat91]

Just 3 quad 1 wins doesn't feel very good.

How would 2 feel?

 

[Bigtex]

Boy our resume looks very similar to Duke.

 

[BBlock24]

Lunardi has Illini as a 9 seed if his update today. Hmm

 

[JMoser16]

Lunardi has Illini as a 9 seed if his update today. Hmm

Lunardi just trolling us at this point

 

[Bigtex]

Lunardi just trolling us at this point

Lunardi might be good at "selecting" the 64 or 68 teams but how accurate are his seedings? yes I realize we are 3 weeks away from selections.

 

[727ill]

Lunardi has Illini as a 9 seed if his update today. Hmm

Really?? That doesn't make sense given his previous update. We were at a 7 I believe before the Indiana game. No way a road quad 1 loss drops you two seed lines.

 

[battle]

Boy our resume looks very similar to Duke.

View attachment 23647

not really
look past the Q1-2 records: Dukes Q1 wins are 33 and 44 neutral (X and Iowa) and 27 home Wake. Q2 wins: 47, 55, 71 home (NC, Pitt, Oh St), 107 away Syr
Illini: Q1 3 and 9 neutral, 71 away WI. Q2: 35, 37, 39, 70, 71 home; 88 away
line up the NETs and ours are about 15-20 better on each win; they have no top 25 wins; two top 40 wins vs. our 5; one away win is 107 vs two 71 and 88

 

[EyeoftheIllini]

I don’t have any idea where Illini will be seeded. What I do know is that once they are announced, there will be plenty of posts on here about how the Illini are seeded to low as well as how our opponent in first or second round should have been seeded higher too.

 

[21ChampaignSt]

Really?? That doesn't make sense given his previous update. We were at a 7 I believe before the Indiana game. No way a road quad 1 loss drops you two seed lines.

I think we tend to overestimate our resume. Our best wins in the last 80 days are home games against Rutgers and Northwestern, both q2. Nationally, we just aren't going to get much love. Finishing the season with no more than 1 loss and avoid getting bounced in the first round of the BTT and I'm guessing that'll be enough to keep us in the 5-7 range.

Edit: I guess technically the Wisconsin road game would be our best win of the last 80 days but eh..

 

[727ill]

I think we tend to overestimate our resume. Our best wins in the last 80 days are home games against Rutgers and Northwestern, both q2. Nationally, we just aren't going to get much love. Finishing the season with no more than 1 loss and avoid getting bounced in the first round of the BTT and I'm guessing that'll be enough to keep us in the 5-7 range.

Well Lunardi had us as a 7 earlier so I guess he overestimated us as well. This fan base is going to lose their mind if we get an 8/9 seed.

 

[LvilleILL]

We are at worst a 7 rn, Lunardi is an idiot. Think winning 2/3 to end the year and a game in the btt gives us a 6. Think we can do better than that though

 

[LvilleILL]

Really?? That doesn't make sense given his previous update. We were at a 7 I believe before the Indiana game. No way a road quad 1 loss drops you two seed lines.

No he had us at a 7 after the IU game. He dropped us two seed lines for going 2-0 this week so far and beating a top 25 team lol