Bracketology

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#101      
Minor nitpick, but the Committee VERY famously does not consider the timing of a win. Our Texas and UCLA wins are as valuable today as they were then, we can’t help when we play each team.

Do you believe them? I'm sus, but I'm not in the room for the debates.
 
#103      
That's a weak team sheet for a six seed. FWIW UNC was, I think, 8-8 in their Q1/2 games going into the tournament.

Also FWIW, our Q1/2 record and average NET win/loss rankings line up pretty well with San Francisco (10 seed) from last year.
I said this earlier this week. A win against Minnesota does nothing and a win against NW (regardless of how awesome) bumps us up only slightly.

8/9 makes sense right now to me.
 
#106      
I said this earlier this week. A win against Minnesota does nothing and a win against NW (regardless of how awesome) bumps us up only slightly.

8/9 makes sense right now to me.
Yep, at present I think that’s about right.
I didn’t think I’d feel this way at the beginning of the season but I’m just sorta glad we’re definitely in there…as crazy as that sounds.
 
#107      
Considering that it is his primary role at ESPN, he should be fairly accurate. That is why it is so puzzling that he completely botched the projection, especially this late in the season.

There was a PAC 12 game on ESPN a couple weeks ago where Bill Walton was bashing Lunardi endlessly because he had Oregon as out of the field. It was Comedy Central trying to hear a voice of reason from the lead play by play announcer. Sometimes wonder how Walton is still employed by ESPN and PAC 12 Network.

I think Lunardi does a fairly good job overall, but he seems to get ridiculed an awful lot.

I was simply replying to a guy who said:

"We really shouldn't look at any bracketologists who's employer has big money on the line to get a particular conferences teams into the tourney."

Lunardi is shown to not be very accurate every year by the people who track that. My point was he isn't trying to "get a particular conferences teams into the tourney."
 
#108      
I was simply replying to a guy who said:

"We really shouldn't look at any bracketologists who's employer has big money on the line to get a particular conferences teams into the tourney."

Lunardi is shown to not be very accurate every year by the people who track that. My point was he isn't trying to "get a particular conferences teams into the tourney."
Links to some of the top past predictors -- 5yr minimum to be considered:
 
#110      
IMO, we'll be a 5 or 6 if things play out "normally". Finishing 12-8 in B10, and get to final 4 of B10 tourney (6 seed) or get to final game (5 seed). Some how win B10 tourney & beat Purdue - maybe a 3-4.

6 Seed is kind of dangerous though - could get one of those just make it teams like Kentucky or NC
 
#111      
Seeding is going to be extremely hard this year because there really isn’t much separation from a 4 seed to a 10 seed.

Big 12 dominates the top 30 of NET rankings so there are not a lot of home quad 1 win opportunities for everyone else

I don’t think MD or Iowa will be seeded ahead of us because they don’t have many road wins. Also we have a better resume than NW. their best wins are mostly home games and they had a weak non conference schedule

Our best wins are UCLA UT NW RU MSU @ Wisky with no bad loses. Our loses are against tournament teams or bubble teams very few teams can say that
 
#112      
Few weeks ago, I typed that this was a 8/9th seeded team with a most likely R1 exit. Was told to "calm down." I think after today, the 8/9 seed is a reality.
 
#117      
We are a bubble team. We are a talented team. We are a team that rarely plays as a team. Dain with 2 shots in a game where he should have netted a double double. This is so frustrating knowing the potential is there.
 
#119      
Barring a win against Purdue and/or a run in the B1G Tournament, I think 10 may be the more likely scenario.
Honestly would rather have the 10 than the 8/9. Would rather be on the bottom half of a bracket than have to deal with the opposite of the 8/9, then 1, then the 4/5. We could be in bottom half and be slept on as a 10, then have a shot against a 2 seed, which we've already beaten 2/4 predicted 2 seeds this season.
 
#122      
We are a bubble team. We are a talented team. We are a team that rarely plays as a team. Dain with 2 shots in a game where he should have netted a double double. This is so frustrating knowing the potential is there.
We could lose out and we will still make it (which won't happen). But yes, this regular season has been very disappointing. We are an 8 seed right now which sucks, and we need to do everything we can to get back to the 7 line
 
#123      
What difference does a seed mean if a team does not come to play?

Clearly, this team has talent.

I wonder if it would help if we pack away the word "elite" for a season or two.
 
#125      
We are now an 8 seed. Beat Michigan and win one game in the btt and we avoid that fate. Just not good enough in any ways today, so frustrating
If we lose to Michigan we definitely want to lose to PU and the BTT game. Hopefully we end up a 10 seed at that point and avoid 8/9.
 
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