Bracketology (Week of Feb. 1st)

Status
Not open for further replies.
#52      
Definitely a problem with one and dones with shortened pre season and early season games. No time to develop roles and chemistry. Isn’t it a shame.
Might have also made a difference with Ace, Belo, and Hawk but we aren’t as dependent.
 
Last edited:
#53      
PSU's win last night moved them back into the top 30 NET so our win at home over them is back to a Q1 win, so we now have 6 and tOSU has 8(!!).
 
#57      
BU:1 Trash cans:0
Chicago
I Am confused a bit, So when teams get back into the top 30, the Quad 1 wins and loses are fluid and subject to change?
Yes. The NET rankings keep getting recalculated as additional games are played. They don't remain static (based upon the NET rankings at the time the game was played).
 
#61      
Yes. The NET rankings keep getting recalculated as additional games are played. They don't remain static (based upon the NET rankings at the time the game was played).
Now has 4 of top 10 BIG teams. T rank has 5 of ten.
 
#64      
Impressed to see the team in the #1 seed discussion. Consistency, especially after a win has been a challenge, but they seem to be improving. Fantastic win yesterday.

According to Bracket matrix, after Gonzaga and Butler the top teams, in order:

Michigan
Villanova
tOSU
Alabama
Houston
ILL-INI
Texas
Iowa
Virginia
Wiscy

Probably not an accurate picture given the timing of submissions, but close.
 
#65      
Let's take another look at the potential at-large teams around the country, and how they're doing in efficiency. I've shared the B1G statistics (through Saturday, 2/6):

1612714265188.png


Again, Michigan has been very dominant against what has been a fairly light schedule thus far. However, they're clear #1 until showing otherwise, and Illinois is a clear #2 at this point. Ohio State and Iowa are just a tick behind, and Wisconsin/Purdue/Rutgers are safely in the bracket right now, considering how tough the conference is (3rd toughest conference in the KenPom era by net conference efficiency, behind ACC 2004 - 9 teams, 7 made tournament, 2 in FF and Big 12 2017 - 10 teams, 7 made tournament).

But looking at the other power conferences:
1612714440584.png


Baylor is ridiculous and deserving of the 1 or 2. Big 12 is the second toughest conference and is really a case of 7 teams beating up on the other 3. Kansas might just be the 7th best team in the conference. However, 7 teams have established themselves as likely tournament teams.

1612714538386.png


Like I was mentioning yesterday, this conference is Alabama and "everyone else". Not really a clear 2nd best team, but Florida, Tennessee, Arkansas, Missouri, Auburn and LSU are definitely in the tournament discussion. But Missouri as a top 4 seed? (top 2 I've seen on CBS?) I don't see it. SEC is 3rd in KP conference efficiency, but about even with the ACC.

1612714809357.png


The ACC is interesting this year mostly because the usual suspects aren't dominating at the top. Virginia and Florida State are the class of the league, and a lot of teams have been "okay", led by Louisville, Duke and Virginia Tech. No team has been truly awful, but no team has been especially good either.

1612714948595.png


The Big East has been the 5th most efficient conference, and it's a lot of meh punctuated by several teams with month-long COVID delays (Villanova, Xavier, Georgetown). So nobody has played a ton of conference games yet, but Villanova is a step above the rest, with Creighton and Connecticut on the second tier. St Johns has come on lately but they were awful early, and DePaul is once again a distant last.

1612715055255.png


Everyone has been on the "UCLA is back!" train that they've become slightly overrated at this point, because USC is clearly the best team in the conference to this point. Colorado, UCLA, Arizona and Oregon are looking at tourney spots, with Stanford and Utah looking to make runs to get into safer territory. Washington and Cal are really bad, though, and are providing the rest of the conference a boost to their numbers.

As for Gonzaga...

1612715156487.png


Yes, Gonzaga is playing like the #1 team, even with their less efficient conference (9th overall, below the above 6 and the American and A-10). BYU is the only other potential tournament team here, and Portland is super bad (like, one of the 20 worst teams in the country).
 
Last edited:
#67      
With all the talk of pretentiousness, thought I'd drop some pretentious classical music to accompany the discussion. Adjust your monocles, grab your fancy goblets, and enjoy this nocturne:


Play Stephen Foster. Oh, Susannah. Camptown Races... Stephen stinking Foster!
 

Attachments

  • 7F4CAA54-130E-4286-9112-5BC213AB2238.jpeg
    7F4CAA54-130E-4286-9112-5BC213AB2238.jpeg
    24.4 KB · Views: 23
#68      
Impressed to see the team in the #1 seed discussion. Consistency, especially after a win has been a challenge, but they seem to be improving. Fantastic win yesterday.

According to Bracket matrix, after Gonzaga and Butler the top teams, in order:

Michigan
Villanova
tOSU
Alabama
Houston
ILL-INI
Texas
Iowa
Virginia
Wiscy

Probably not an accurate picture given the timing of submissions, but close.
We'd definitely be ranked ahead of ALA and HOU if the tourney pairings were announced today. And I also agree that OSU's victory in Champaign gives them the nod for final #1 seed.

Michigan is now very susceptible after their 2-week hiatus. Speculating we'll be favored in each of our next three "scheduled" games --- even AT Minnesota ---, and then underdogs in the final two road games.
 
#69      
We'd definitely be ranked ahead of ALA and HOU if the tourney pairings were announced today. And I also agree that OSU's victory in Champaign gives them the nod for final #1 seed.

Michigan is now very susceptible after their 2-week hiatus. Speculating we'll be favored in each of our next three "scheduled" games --- even AT Minnesota ---, and then underdogs in the final two road games.
Would actually worry more about Minny than Whisky but think it depends on how everyone plays between now and then. Does Michigan come back strong or look a little rusty? Do we continue like Whisky game or like Maryland game? This game is so unpredictable and why we have a love/hate view.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.