Bracketology (Week of Feb. 22nd)

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#176      
All the bracket experts have Houston as a 3 on Friday. There is no way they compete for a 1. They are in a weak conference. They might jump up to a 2 but Iowa will definitely be a 2.
I agree with this. No way Houston deserves a 1 seed or is even borderline 1 right now. What have they done?
 
#181      
If the bracket came out tomorrow and Houston was the 4th #1 seed, we would be the #2 seed in their bracket. So the only real difference would be the Sweet Sixteen matchup of a 3 seed vs 4 seed.
 
#182      
If the bracket came out tomorrow and Houston was the 4th #1 seed, we would be the #2 seed in their bracket. So the only real difference would be the Sweet Sixteen matchup of a 3 seed vs 4 seed.
there is absolutely no chance houston gets a 1 seed. if they win out the max they’ll be is a 2 seed. possibly 3
 
#183      
Eventually, the question of Ayo's availability is going to come up, prior to Selection Sunday. That committee is going to have look at us with and without Ayo. We are clearly two different teams. With Ayo, were a top seed. Without him, we're not. This happened to Cincinnati a while back with Kenyon Martin. They were a huge favorite to win it all and a sure #1 seed. He broke his leg in their conference tournament game and the committee had to reevaluate them and ultimately, they dropped.

There's not too much to look into until his availability is determined.
 
#184      
Eventually, the question of Ayo's availability is going to come up, prior to Selection Sunday. That committee is going to have look at us with and without Ayo. We are clearly two different teams. With Ayo, were a top seed. Without him, we're not. This happened to Cincinnati a while back with Kenyon Martin. They were a huge favorite to win it all and a sure #1 seed. He broke his leg in their conference tournament game and the committee had to reevaluate them and ultimately, they dropped.

There's not too much to look into until his availability is determined.
Even if he doesnt play at all this week which I think has a high probability i guarantee you he will be back for the btt. Now if something was to happen in the btt that would be altogether a different story. Lord hope not!
 
#186      
We are clearly two different teams. With Ayo, were a top seed. Without him, we're not.
Well, I mean... we're undefeated without him.

All kidding aside, I think we are definitely better with him, but let's not kid ourselves into thinking we're trash without him. While I reallllly hope he's back by Tuesday, I'm very interested to see how we look without him on the court.

If, and I mean if, Ayo is still out and we win Tuesday, I don't think we could be looked at as anything other than a 1 seed regardless of Ayo's eligibility after that.
 
#189      
Duke, MSU, I'm looking at you. This feels like something both schools would do to try to get a higher seed. I'm not saying it's them, just that I wouldn't be surprised if it was.
Those conferences are not having tournaments that end well in advance of selection sunday. That is referring to conferences that have tournaments going this week, like the MVC, WCC, or A-10. Teams that are currently borderline in those conferences, like Drake, St. Louis, etc. want to get an extra Quad 1/2 game in (understandably) to bolster their resume.
 
#190      
Minnesota destroyed UM and lost to NW and Nebraska this season. Small sample sizes shouldn't be our guiding light when assessing teams that have been excellent the entire year. Baylor just came back from a long break from COVID and played bad against Iowa State. They just suffered their first loss of the year against a good team (on the road). With all of that, ESPN game predictor is still only giving them a .004% chance of losing their next three games. West Virginia has a much healthier chance of winning their next three (20.4%), which would make them a threat for passing us.
Completely agree with the sentiment and nitpicking here but it's actually a .4% chance of Baylor losing out according to ESPN. Either way still not gonna happen
 
#191      
Completely agree with the sentiment and nitpicking here but it's actually a .4% chance of Baylor losing out according to ESPN. Either way still not gonna happen
Even better 😂 - literally the same predictive certainty they gave for the MSU wins over Illinois/Buckeyes.
season 1 the loudest voice GIF by Showtime
 
#192      
Even better 😂 - literally the same predictive certainty they gave for the MSU wins over Illinois/Buckeyes.
season 1 the loudest voice GIF by Showtime
I don't know what you're looking at but the win probabilities for those MSU wins im seeing on ESPN were Illini 80.5%, OSU 72%, which comes out to 5% (5.5% actually, but for easy math purposes let's say 5) chance of MSU winning both. A 1/20 shot. A 0.4% probability is a 1/250 shot. Those are not close to the same odds. Moreover, we're talking about Baylor losing 4 games in a row. Teams of Baylor's quality don't lose four in a row. Is it possible? Sure, just like it's possible the Baltimore Orioles are going to be 2021 World Series Champs. It's possible, but I'm confident saying it isn't going to happen.
 
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