Bracketology (Week of Feb. 22nd)

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#151      
I suppose it’s possible but highly unlikely that either of those happen.
take a ride on my energy GIF
 
#153      
They nearly lost to a 2-13 team at home this week and got blown out by Kansas. I've said it since last week - they could easily lose 3 of their last 4 regular season games. Kansas did their part. Now they travel to WVU, get OSU (who just knocked off #7 Oklahoma), and get a dangerous Texas Tech team last. It's not far-fetched.
 
#155      
West Virginia's ranking in the AP poll means nothing to their seeding in the tournament. They are 12th in the NET and 17th in kenpom. No way they jump over us. You heard it here first. lol
Well, technically I claim firsties on that statement about ten comments ago
 
#158      
We should be a 1 seed Monday after 3 losses in 7-8 days for Ohio St. Sorry if already posted.
 
#159      

mhuml32

Cincinnati, OH
They nearly lost to a 2-13 team at home this week and got blown out by Kansas. I've said it since last week - they could easily lose 3 of their last 4 regular season games. Kansas did their part. Now they travel to WVU, get OSU (who just knocked off #7 Oklahoma), and get a dangerous Texas Tech team last. It's not far-fetched.

Minnesota destroyed UM and lost to NW and Nebraska this season. Small sample sizes shouldn't be our guiding light when assessing teams that have been excellent the entire year. Baylor just came back from a long break from COVID and played bad against Iowa State. They just suffered their first loss of the year against a good team (on the road). With all of that, ESPN game predictor is still only giving them a .004% chance of losing their next three games. West Virginia has a much healthier chance of winning their next three (20.4%), which would make them a threat for passing us.
 
#160      

altenberger22

South Carolina
Following today's results, nearly all brackets should line up something like this in terms of the 1 and 2 seeds:

1. GONZ
1. MICH
1. BAYLOR
1. ILL or HOU

2. HOU or ILL
2. IOWA
2. AL
2. WVU/OHIO ST/VILL

It gets sorta murky after the top 6-7.
 
#161      
Lunardi says Illinois moves up to a 1 seed with OSU’s loss today.
 
#163      

mhuml32

Cincinnati, OH
Following today's results, nearly all brackets should line up something like this in terms of the 1 and 2 seeds:

1. GONZ
1. MICH
1. BAYLOR
1. ILL or HOU

2. HOU or ILL
2. IOWA
2. AL
2. WVU/OHIO ST/VILL

It gets sorta murky after the top 6-7.

Agree to this. The back-half of the 2 seed through the 5 seed is a complete mess with the puzzling losses.
 
#164      
Agree to this. The back-half of the 2 seed through the 5 seed is a complete mess with the puzzling losses.

It's going to be very interesting. Tennessee destroyed Kansas by 19 a month ago and now, Kansas would be a full seed line or two ahead of Tennessee. Purdue inching its way up to a 4 seed with all the losses around them.
 
#165      
Minnesota destroyed UM and lost to NW and Nebraska this season. Small sample sizes shouldn't be our guiding light when assessing teams that have been excellent the entire year. Baylor just came back from a long break from COVID and played bad against Iowa State. They just suffered their first loss of the year against a good team (on the road). With all of that, ESPN game predictor is still only giving them a .004% chance of losing their next three games. West Virginia has a much healthier chance of winning their next three (20.4%), which would make them a threat for passing us.
No. It won't.
 
#166      
Minnesota destroyed UM and lost to NW and Nebraska this season. Small sample sizes shouldn't be our guiding light when assessing teams that have been excellent the entire year. Baylor just came back from a long break from COVID and played bad against Iowa State. They just suffered their first loss of the year against a good team (on the road). With all of that, ESPN game predictor is still only giving them a .004% chance of losing their next three games. West Virginia has a much healthier chance of winning their next three (20.4%), which would make them a threat for passing us.
Minnesota played Michigan about 3 centuries ago, back when Kalscheur and Robbins weren't broken. Recency matters. If you want to approach who you're rooting for based on risk minimisation scenarios, that's cool. I'm going for reward maximization. To each his own. 🤷‍♂️
 
#167      
Following today's results, nearly all brackets should line up something like this in terms of the 1 and 2 seeds:

1. GONZ
1. MICH
1. BAYLOR
1. ILL or HOU

2. HOU or ILL
2. IOWA
2. AL
2. WVU/OHIO ST/VILL

It gets sorta murky after the top 6-7.
All the bracket experts have Houston as a 3 on Friday. There is no way they compete for a 1. They are in a weak conference. They might jump up to a 2 but Iowa will definitely be a 2.
 
#168      
For funsies...according to the same ESPN predictor, MSU had @ 4% chance of winning both the Illinois and OSU matchups.
💩 happens... So I'm going for optimism.
 
#172      

IlliniKat91

Chicago, IL
[regarding Lunardy] I disagree. He has shown us a lot of love the last couple years.
That is not the general perception around here. Since OP's question was why did it hurt Lunardi to move us up, I gave him the tongue-in-cheek Loyalty answer
 
#173      
That is not the general perception around here. Since OP's question was why did it hurt Lunardi to move us up, I gave him the tongue-in-cheek Loyalty answer
Fair enough. I haven't followed the Lunardi hate on here.
 
#175      
Illini are on the #1 seed line now,

And if they can win at Michigan, I believe they will have clinched the #1 seed.
 
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