Bold prediction: A majority of outcomes break the way we want today. Bubble becomes "win and in" for us. We play really good basketball and take a sizeable lead into the last five minutes of tomorrow's game only to watch Michigan get hot from theee, take the lead, and we lose on a last second offensive possession that looks like a 2nd grader drew it up.
I actually think we'll be blown out tomorrow. I expect that the outcome will be known by half time.
However, I can deal with your scenario if we lose because they get hot. If we lose because we sit on the ball, that's another story.