Nerd alert: I made this spreadsheet a few weeks ago when I was considering pulling the trigger on buying Milwaukee tickets. At the time, I thought it looked like a near lock that Illinois would go to Milwaukee. Glad I didn't buy 'em because Pittsburgh/Buffalo looks entirely possible now. Updated it a few minutes ago to reflect today's Bracket Matrix.
Ultimately, where Illinois goes depends on what the committee thinks of a) Purdue vs. Tennessee and b) Illinois vs. Wisconsin vs. Arkansas. If the seeding were done according to today's matrix, Arkansas would get sent to Buffalo. Of course, we'll find out in less than 24 hours, lol.
Current
Matrix | Seed | Team | Closest Location | Distance | 2nd Closest | Distance | 3rd Closest | Distance |
1 | 1 | Gonzaga | Portland | 290 miles | San Diego | 1033 miles | Milwaukee | 1460 miles |
2 | 1 | Arizona | San Diego | 363 miles | Forth Worth | 796 miles | Portland | 1112 miles |
3 | 1 | Kansas | Forth Worth | 446 miles | Milwaukee | 473 miles | Indianapolis | 488 miles |
4 | 1 | Baylor | Forth Worth | 84 miles | Indianapolis | 838 miles | Greenville, SC | 883 miles |
5 | 2 | Kentucky | Indianapolis | 149 miles | Greenville, SC | 250 miles | Pittsburgh | 293 miles |
6 | 2 | Auburn | Greenville, SC | 236 miles | Indianapolis | 497 miles | Pittsburgh | 621 miles |
7 | 2 | Duke | Greenville, SC | 212 miles | Pittsburgh | 314 miles | Indianapolis | 474 miles |
8 | 2 | Villanova | Pittsburgh | 247 miles | Buffalo | 269 miles | Greenville, SC | 527 miles |
9 | 3 | Purdue | Indianapolis | 61 miles | Milwaukee | 188 miles | Pittsburgh | 365 miles |
10 | 3 | Tennessee | Greenville, SC | 115 miles | Indianapolis | 290 miles | Pittsburgh | 376 miles |
11 | 3 | Texas Tech | Forth Worth | 262 miles | San Diego | 886 miles | Indianapolis | 970 miles |
12 | 3 | Wisconsin | Milwaukee | 74 miles | Indianapolis | 283 miles | Buffalo | 531 miles |
13 | 4 | UCLA | San Diego | 112 miles | Portland | 827 miles | Fort Worth | 1209 miles |
14 | 4 | Illinois | Indianapolis | 113 miles | Milwaukee | 203 miles | Pittsburgh | 435 miles |
15 | 4 | Arkansas | Forth Worth | 292 miles | Indianapolis | 506 miles | Greenville, SC | 667 miles |
16 | 4 | Providence | Buffalo | 388 miles | Pittsburgh | 457 miles | Greenville, SC | 766 miles |
Edit: Moral of the story seems to be... don't put NCAA games in Buffalo. Nobody wants to go there.