Checked the Illini stats because I was curious too.How are his turnovers? Seems awfully loose with the ball, those lazy telegraphed passes have to be hammered out of him.
And stop with the touch fouls on shooters. If you're gonna foul a shooter, get your money's worth and make sure the ball doesn't get to the rim for the -and 1. Continue to add strength.
To me those are the biggest weaknesses in his game that he really needs to (and can) correct. His ceiling is really high.
Have you ever watched an NBA game?Are there any examples of uptempo teams that also play through a back to the basket post player? I really don't know the answer. Seems to me though, that we can't play through Kofi AND be an uptempo team. BU has made the decision to be more of a half court team vs run n' gun.. which, IMO, is the right decision. Another example of him adjusting style of play to his roster mid season.
College and NBA are apples and oranges but I'll bite.Have you ever watched an NBA game?
I don't see how anyone can say Coleman has not taken a big step up. You finally said he played good defense the last couple games. He did a super job against Harper and Murray (2 of the best offensive players in the Big Ten). This from a guy that hardly played last year. I would say that is quite a step up. I do think he needs to improve his offense. We will not reach our goals without him.So at the beginning of the year I said that we would be good, and there were about 7 things that could happen for us to be great, and we only needed 2-3 to hit. Here is where I think we are at:
1. Kofi takes a step forward - I think this has happened. With his passing, free throw shooting, and just overall feel for the game he looks more like a basketball player and not just a big dude out there.
2. Belo takes a step forward- obviously a no and I do think his absence has really set us back.
3. Plummer is an upgrade in the Ace role- this one is a little tougher. Obviously far ahead of Ace offensively and way ahead as a shooter, but well behind Ace defensively especially towards the end of last year. I do think he’s improving defensively and this can be a yes by year end but right now I will say incomplete, but trending yes.
4. Hutch is a contributor- obviously a no and just terrible luck.
5. Payne is an upgrade over Giorgi- this is a no. Payne is an upgrade on defense, but I always felt like Giorgi was a better defender than he got credit for and we do miss his offense. Still time for the lightbulb to come on for Payne though and I do think having Belo out has hurt his offense.
6. One of the frosh makes the rotation - still a no. Goode looks to be on the verge but for whatever reason BU doesn’t trust him yet. RJ has also shown flashes.
7. Coleman takes a step forward- not yet. Has shown flashes but too inconsistent and mistake prone. I feel like his career has been very similar to Griffin’s so far. Play sparingly as a frosh, play really well against low majors as a soph but struggles on big stage, and struggles defensively. The light bulb did come on for Griffin against HM competition right around the Wisconsin game and from then on he was probably our most consistent shooter. Coleman has been really good defensively in 2 of the last 3 games. I’m hoping with a little more practice he can figure out his role on offense and the light bulb will come on sometime in conference play.
So, not surprisingly we are behind where I hoped we would be, but a combination of injuries and illness have really hurt us. Still think there’s a chance we hit on a couple of the above and if that happens and we even get frosh Belo back think we will be really dangerous. My prediction of most likely to click from above:
1. Plummer surpasses Ace- probably already has but just want a little more defensively which I think is coming.
2. Frosh makes the rotation - Thinking Goode will be getting ~12mpg by March
3. Coleman takes a step forward - needs some consistency and confidence, hopefully will come with more practice and a few games against lesser competition (Tubelis was a beast).
4. Payne is an upgrade over Giorgi- just haven’t seen enough.
5. Belo takes a step- realistically think injury will have just put him too far behind to make the leap I was hoping for. At this point would be thrilled just to have frosh level Belo and I think we will be great.
Sorry for the long post. But just wanted to share my thoughts. Feel like it’s been more bad luck than anything that’s held is back so far and still think we have a great chance to win the BIG and go on a run in March. Go Illini!
Dee vs. Trent would be a defensive tug of war ......big time.................2 ELITE defenders..........kinda like Rock'em Sock'em Robots ........lolThis just in, I'd still pay money to see prime TF vs prime Dee play 1v1. I don't think the margin is nearly as big (if at all) as us old-timers like to think. TF isn't as quick straight-line as Dee was, but he's also bigger and IMO has a bigger scoring bag. Defensively, both are/were truly elite ballhawks. It'd be interesting, is all I'm saying.
Regardless. I think these guys are are going to really take teams apart by mid-January. We barely lost the TO metric against AZ, and that's being down two guys who would've been primary ballhandlers if healthy. I think losing Hutch from the rotation has screwed things up (not as much as Belo) in the rotation that BU would've preferred, but they're finding ways to adjust. It'll click.
I definitely agree. What my post was trying to get at was just because people had possibly unreasonable expectations for Hawk this year, not having met those doesn’t mean he hasn’t taken a step forward. His growth or success shouldn’t be measured against some of the crazy off-season projections some posters made for him. Where he is at right now is about where I thought he’d be. As I said, just about all his stats are up. But he has areas in which he needs to improve as you have pointed out. I certainly agree that he is too loose with the ball. And though he’s not shooting a huge amount of them, I’d like to see him limit has 3-point shots even more. I think in time that can become an important part of his game, but he’s not there and we have enough deep threats. Concentrate on getting to the hoop and a mid-range game for now.How are his turnovers? Seems awfully loose with the ball, those lazy telegraphed passes have to be hammered out of him.
And stop with the touch fouls on shooters. If you're gonna foul a shooter, get your money's worth and make sure the ball doesn't get to the rim for the -and 1. Continue to add strength.
To me those are the biggest weaknesses in his game that he really needs to (and can) correct. His ceiling is really high.
I don't think your hypothesis is valid. Last season we frequently played through Kofi and were in the upper quartile of tempo nationally and second in the conference. At any rate, I think playing slower is hurting our offense, and is especially hurting Kofi. When we were at our best last year (i.e. during the second half of the conference season) we had Curbelo pushing the ball and Ayo and others running the wings aggressively on every possession to great effect.My hypothesis is that they might be mutually exclusive.
I vote for mixing it up...run interspersed with half court.Are there any examples of uptempo teams that also play through a back to the basket post player? I really don't know the answer. Seems to me though, that we can't play through Kofi AND be an uptempo team. BU has made the decision to be more of a half court team vs run n' gun.. which, IMO, is the right decision. Another example of him adjusting style of play to his roster mid season.
I mean, maybe. Thing about basketball offenses or 'systems' is that there are usually multiple stages to them. Ideally, your first choice is to get out and beat the defense down the court for an easy bucket. Then you look for an early action to attack the d before it gets set. And then you run your half court set. If 'playing through Kofi' means he has to touch the ball every time and he initiates every set we run on offense, then yes, you can't run and do that as well. But there's no reason why you can't look for early offense and then get Kofi his touches. And as I described above, I think it's actually easier to get him the ball where he needs it, and without an immediate double-team, if you first try to get a good shot out of your early offense. It's what we did last year and Kofi still scored 17 a game.To me, what you're talking about dbev is decisiveness. Get up the floor into the offense and if you have the shot, shoot it, if not then move it. Don't hesitate. Run when the opportunity presents itself. I agree, we can do that and will get better at that throughout the year, I think.
Let me elaborate on where I'm coming from. Someone mentioned earlier, BU's desire to score within 7 or 8 seconds of the shot clock. I don't think we can do that, IF our offense is predicated on feeding Kofi in the post. Playing through Kofi requires him to first get position. Then, our guards need to find the correct angle to deliver a post entry pass. This often requires the ball to move around the perimeter a little bit. Then, if Kofi does get the ball, he has to execute his move or kick it back out. This process takes a ton of time in basketball years. And I just don't think it's compatible with the 7 second offense. I think as long as our offense flows through Kofi, you're going to see a more deliberate pace of play.. which is to say, we probably won't crack top 50 in tempo.
This just in, I'd still pay money to see prime TF vs prime Dee play 1v1. I don't think the margin is nearly as big (if at all) as us old-timers like to think. TF isn't as quick straight-line as Dee was, but he's also bigger and IMO has a bigger scoring bag. Defensively, both are/were truly elite ballhawks. It'd be interesting, is all I'm saying.
Regardless. I think these guys are are going to really take teams apart by mid-January. We barely lost the TO metric against AZ, and that's being down two guys who would've been primary ballhandlers if healthy. I think losing Hutch from the rotation has screwed things up (not as much as Belo) in the rotation that BU would've preferred, but they're finding ways to adjust. It'll click.
I mean, maybe. Thing about basketball offenses or 'systems' is that there are usually multiple stages to them. Ideally, your first choice is to get out and beat the defense down the court for an easy bucket. Then you look for an early action to attack the d before it gets set. And then you run your half court set. If 'playing through Kofi' means he has to touch the ball every time and he initiates every set we run on offense, then yes, you can't run and do that as well. But there's no reason why you can't look for early offense and then get Kofi his touches. And as I described above, I think it's actually easier to get him the ball where he needs it, and without an immediate double-team, if you first try to get a good shot out of your early offense. It's what we did last year and Kofi still scored 17 a game.
ThisThis is all well-stated, and true, but I think our lack of success in half-court offense in one game against a lengthy Arizona team perfectly suited to defend a half-court offense, is coloring our judgment a bit on what kind of team we are. We were a good transition team last year because of Ayo, possibly the best transition player in all of college basketball last season. We were a bad half-court team because Kofi couldn't pass out of the post. We no longer have Ayo, and Kofi can pass the ball now. Against Rutgers and Iowa, our half-court game looked a lot more potent than our transition game. I think we may be better off, in most (but maybe not all) situations, slowing things down a bit this season.
Defense is hard to quantify statistically, but fwiw Dee was worth 2.7 defensive win shares his Senior year. Trent's best season (last year) was worth 1.7 defensive win shares. In case you were wondering, that's less than Dee's "worst" season (2.0 in 2003-04). Dee also ranks 1st in Illinois history and 8th in the Big Ten all-time in steals. I hardly think its a push statistically. You might say the stats don't paint the whole picture, but the picture they do paint says both are very good defenders, but Dee was better.Meh, I agree generally on the assists and offensive consistency but defensively, it's a push statistically (I'm not bored enough to go dig into the comp for DPOY in 05... Yet. It's a long week). My eyeballs say Trent has been asked to guard a wider variety of positions (probably because he's like 2" and 20 lbs bigger than Dee, and that's being generous). Leadership wise, I think it would be hard to say - Dee had more career success but inherited a program in a much much better spot than TF did early on.
We really have been blessed with some amazing guards over the years.