Illinois 75, BYU 73 POSTGAME

#176      

UofIChE06

Pittsburgh
Of course not. The facts ruin the narrative. Yes as a freshman Black was always picking up quick fouls. This year while he fouls a little more than he should he has mostly been able to stay on the court and contribute. This is one of many areas in which he is vastly improved.

Got five fouls might as well use them right? As long as it isn't really limiting his minutes, which outside of yesterday it really hasn't I don't see a problem.
 
#177      
Not sure why you use top 25 as a criteria, it's not used for determining at large teams. Maybe for seeding it has some relevance? Top 50 is used because that number will typically include all of the at large teams as well as many of the automatic bids from the power conferences. As of right now we are 2-1 vs the RPI top 50. And VCU is in the top 25, though I don't think they stay there long.

Not sure why you're even looking at RPI at this time of the year. I'm sure these are going to change but this is how the latest at the time of this writing looks:

RPI B1G Teams:
1. Minnesota 10
2. Maryland 25
3. Purdue 27
4. Northwestern 35
5. Illinois 47
6. Wisconsin 53
7. Nebraska 55
8. Indiana 70
9. Michigan St. 81
10. Michigan 84
11. Ohio St. 87
12. Rutgers 99
13. Penn St. 100
14. Iowa 147

AP/USA Coaches Polls Rankings:
1. Indiana 9/9
2. Wisconsin 14/14
3. Purdue 15/16
4. Maryland 29/28
5. Minnesota 34/43
6. Ohio State 38/NR
7. Michigan State 40/32
8. Michigan NR/38

I'd be much more concerned about where the Illini are on the second listing, rather than where they (or anyone else for that matter) are currently at on the first one. Note that the top 3 B1G teams in the AP/USA polls rank 70, 53 & 27. Only one even falls in the Top 50 of the RPI at this stage...
 
#178      

UofIChE06

Pittsburgh
Not sure why you use top 25 as a criteria, it's not used for determining at large teams. Maybe for seeding it has some relevance? Top 50 is used because that number will typically include all of the at large teams as well as many of the automatic bids from the power conferences. As of right now we are 2-1 vs the RPI top 50. And VCU is in the top 25, though I don't think they stay there long.

I do agree our "easy" conference schedule can actually be less than favorable because it limits our chances to get more good wins.

Agreed. Top 50 wins and Sub 100 losses are usually key metrics. Right now Winthrop is in the Top 100 in RPI so hopefully they can hang on to that. As down as the conference is there is only one sub 100 team so not many chances for bad losses either.
 
#179      
Not sure why you're even looking at RPI at this time of the year. I'm sure these are going to change but this is how the latest at the time of this writing looks:

RPI B1G Teams:
1. Minnesota 10
2. Maryland 25
3. Purdue 27
4. Northwestern 35
5. Illinois 47
6. Wisconsin 53
7. Nebraska 55
8. Indiana 70
9. Michigan St. 81
10. Michigan 84
11. Ohio St. 87
12. Rutgers 99
13. Penn St. 100
14. Iowa 147

AP/USA Coaches Polls Rankings:
1. Indiana 9/9
2. Wisconsin 14/14
3. Purdue 15/16
4. Maryland 29/28
5. Minnesota 34/43
6. Ohio State 38/NR
7. Michigan State 40/32
8. Michigan NR/38

I'd be much more concerned about where the Illini are on the second listing, rather than where they (or anyone else for that matter) are currently at on the first one. Note that the top 3 B1G teams in the AP/USA polls rank 70, 53 & 27. Only one even falls in the Top 50 of the RPI at this stage...

Outside the top 25, the second list is a joke. Unless you really believe that Loyola should be 43rd in the AP poll. Rutgers was 44th in week 4 :D
 
#180      
Not sure why you're even looking at RPI at this time of the year.

Well, I really wasn't. Just responding to someone who was.

I'd be much more concerned about where the Illini are on the second listing, rather than where they (or anyone else for that matter) are currently at on the first one. Note that the top 3 B1G teams in the AP/USA polls rank 70, 53 & 27. Only one even falls in the Top 50 of the RPI at this stage...

I'd probably lean towards using something that wasn't based on people voting, but that's just me.
 
#182      
Got five fouls might as well use them right? As long as it isn't really limiting his minutes, which outside of yesterday it really hasn't I don't see a problem.

Fully agree with this. Fouls haven't hindered Black this year. His consistent play has probably been the second best positive story this year. I rate Abrams returning as an improved player #1. Nobody could have reasonably predicted how well Abrams has played.
 
#183      
Fully agree with this. Fouls haven't hindered Black this year. His consistent play has probably been the second best positive story this year. I rate Abrams returning as an improved player #1. Nobody could have reasonably predicted how well Abrams has played.

The refs probably won't be calling as many fouls in conference play too.
 
#184      
This is not true.

First of all, you can only compare the last 2 years of conference records, since the expansion. Records prior to expansion are not relative.

There were no 9-9 teams in 2015, 10-8 tied for 8th. Unless you have some top 25 wins non-conference, 9th place in the B1G won't cut it even in strong years. This is not a strong year, and we don't have any wins against top 25 teams non-con.

2014 we tied with IU at 9-9. IU had 10 non-con and did make it...but they had 4 wins against top 25 teams. If we have 4 wins against 10 25 teams, we will clearly win more than 9 games in the B1G, so this is a very poor comp.

Not only do we not have any top 25 wins, it is possible we don't have any wins against teams that will be in the top 50 at the end of the year. We could conceivably win 11 games in the B1G without beating a team that is in the top 50 at the end of the year.

It is clearly possible that we could sneak in at 9-9, but in a down year for the B1G it is highly unlikely (less than 5%, IMHO). Finishing 10-8 without any top 25 wins is very possible, and could easlity leave us outside looking in.

It is entirely possible that Rutgers, Penn St, Minnesota, Iowa, Nebraska and Northwestern are all outside of the top 50 at the end of the year, and we play 11 games against this group.

Good stuff! Healthy dose of realism.
 
#186      

zpfled

Logan Square, Chicago
The B1G is also currently the worst it's been in that timeframe.

On another note, can't believe we got outdrawn by Dayton in Chicago. Embarassing.

Yeah, that sucked...but at least we drew better than "Chicago's Big Ten Team". As far as I could tell, the only NU fans there were player families.

Granted, that might actually be all of NU basketball fans...
 
#187      

79illinois

Winnetka, IL
Yeah, that sucked...but at least we drew better than "Chicago's Big Ten Team". As far as I could tell, the only NU fans there were player families.

Granted, that might actually be all of NU basketball fans...

I was there for both games Saturday night, the whole time. I think there were no more than 100 Northwestern fans there, including some sort of alumni pep band NU had and the NU cheerleaders. VERY low turnout for "Chicago's Big Ten team" - what a crock that is. I am not so sure Dayton outdrew lllinois but Dayton did travel very well and was much more present than NU's pathetic turnout. Of course, the ice storm in Central Illinois did not help the Illini turnout and was the reason Illinois had no band or cheerleaders, I am informed.
 
#188      
Yeah, that sucked...but at least we drew better than "Chicago's Big Ten Team". As far as I could tell, the only NU fans there were player families.

Granted, that might actually be all of NU basketball fans...

What do all Northwestern fans have in common?

All of them went to Northwestern. :D
 
#189      

The Worm

CHICAGO, IL
Just curious, did Tate have two seniors playing ahead of him?

I would add that he's also a point in his freshman year where he's hitting the freshman wall given all of the basketball, travel and school work culminating at the same time. Giving him a physical/mental breather is a smart move on Groce's part.

At the end of the day, these are still kids and we aren't Kentucky academically.
 
#190      
Yeah, that sucked...but at least we drew better than "Chicago's Big Ten Team". As far as I could tell, the only NU fans there were player families.

Granted, that might actually be all of NU basketball fans...

True. In terms of percentages they may have drawn well over 50% of their fanbase, and I think that's pretty good! :D
 
#192      

Foggy Notion

San Francisco
Northwestern's fan base:

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#193      
I would add that he's also a point in his freshman year where he's hitting the freshman wall given all of the basketball, travel and school work culminating at the same time. Giving him a physical/mental breather is a smart move on Groce's part.

At the end of the day, these are still kids and we aren't Kentucky academically.

Do you have knowledge he hit a wall. A few minutes playing time would actually reward the grind a bit.

Groce has to think Tate is the better answer, and at the end of the day Groce will own it. I personally think Tate is one less guy that BYU had to guard. JCL was cold in the second half. Both of those factors let the defense collapse and hurt MH mid range game and shut down our post a bit. We need a little more than what Tate can do. Maybe that is TJL or someone else but it needs addressed sooner than later.
 
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#194      
I think a lot of our success came while Mika was sitting. He comes in, and the game gets closer. Then Leron gets two quick fouls and is essentially out. They come hard at us and our offense goes cold. After this the game is a tossup. We luckily picked it up and won it.. but it could've easily gone the other way.

Those two players had almost direct correlations to how successful their respective teams were performing.
 
#196      

The Worm

CHICAGO, IL
Do you have knowledge he hit a wall. A few minutes playing time would actually reward the grind a bit.

Groce has to think Tate is the better answer, and at the end of the day Groce will own it. I personally think Tate is one less guy that BYU had to guard. JCL was cold in the second half. Both of those factors let the defense collapse and hurt MH mid range game and shut down our post a bit. We need a little more than what Tate can do. Maybe that is TJL or someone else but it needs addressed sooner than later.



I totally agree about TJL being a better option than Tate. No, I don't have any inside information but can surmise this based on previous seasons w/ Groce and TJL's recent games played.
 
#198      
I totally agree about TJL being a better option than Tate. No, I don't have any inside information but can surmise this based on previous seasons w/ Groce and TJL's recent games played.

I just cannot imagine that some combination of the younger guys isn't better than Tate. I call bull on the JG players play players.
 
#199      
Groce has been reluctant to play young players in the past (see Hill\Nunn). He tends to favor veterans until the freshman in question makes it impossible not to change. My guess is with his seat as hot as it is, this pattern is only going to be stronger.

That said, TJL needs to get some minutes this year. I think as the season goes along his time will slowly increase. I think the progression will look a lot like Hill\Nunn, although I don't think TJL will ever be the started this year.
 
#200      

TEYPAY

Springfield
Groce has been reluctant to play young players in the past (see Hill\Nunn). He tends to favor veterans until the freshman in question makes it impossible not to change. My guess is with his seat as hot as it is, this pattern is only going to be stronger.

That said, TJL needs to get some minutes this year. I think as the season goes along his time will slowly increase. I think the progression will look a lot like Hill\Nunn, although I don't think TJL will ever be the started this year.

We see this comment all the time but I think there has been a lot of discussion that kind of disproves it.

Hill - averaged over 30 minutes a games as a sophomore (behind Rice as a freshman- and still played 14 minutes a game). Nunn - almost 20 minutes a games as a freshman and over 30 as a sophomore. AND... the senior Bertrand didn't start...

NOTE -- I am not saying I like Tate of Lucas (especially against a zone defense).