For every 100 insiders, there are only 1 or 2 true insiders. Just a fact that I made up.
And for those one or two insiders , their only right 4% of the time. A fact I don't need to make up.
For every 100 insiders, there are only 1 or 2 true insiders. Just a fact that I made up.
ok...I laughedFor every 100 insiders, there are only 1 or 2 true insiders. Just a fact that I made up.
So you're saying there's a chance....And for those one or two insiders , their only right 4% of the time. A fact I don't need to make up.
For every 100 insiders, there are only 1 or 2 true insiders. Just a fact that I made up.
So you're saying there's a chance....
We appear to have only one reliable insider on this board, and it's a Michigan guy.We sure their are any insiders??
We are steadily heading in the direction of statistics and probability lesson day on IL. Let's avoid that.
What are the odds of this actually happening...
We appear to have only one reliable insider on this board, and it's a Michigan guy.
Go figure.
Am I wrong to feel like victoryillini77 and stuemke5 are legit sources? Link that up with Lefty and my hopes are up. Where ya at Combes?!
Am I wrong to feel like victoryillini77 and stuemke5 are legit sources? Link that up with Lefty and my hopes are up. Where ya at Combes?!
This boards record of predicting verbals is really bad so I wouldn't get your hopes to high.
68.7 percent of all statistics are made up.
So long as you are ready for the "sorry guys , something must have changed late. My guy is usually spot on, but something happened at last minute."
Meaning there has been a change of heart or a delay???
So long as you are ready for the "sorry guys , something must have changed late. My guy is usually spot on, but something happened at last minute."
Having been on this board for now 6+ years and having lurked on other boards before that, there is no point to get too high or too low when following recruiting. At least that is how I follow it.
I used to get super excited about every bit of news and spend a lot of time networking etc. Luckily, I have a really busy job that takes up a lot of my time, a team to manage, and a wedding to plan for (or at least give off the impression I am extremely interested).
I could go on and on and on about all of the silent verbals we had that never came to fruition. I could go on and on about that next "can't miss" prospect who flamed out and did nothing yet everyone on this board said we needed him no matter what. I could go on and on the kids I actually liked that many felt were not good enough for Illinois because they only have x amount of stars next to their name and they became great college players. I could go on and on about the kids I tried to convince myself would be the next big thing because they had an offer from this team or were 4 stars etc only to be average players.
Posters sharing info they hear is the whole point of a message board. I know a lot of people are butthurt over "we have our PG" and and barber shop talk and what not, but it is how you decide to take that information and make your own decisions based on that. I have learned not too get super giddy over a potential good news nugget of information, but I have also learned to do the same over negative information.
One poster can claim to have inside information from one person that can be entirely 100% accurate, while another person can information from another person that contradicts it completely that was true based on what they were told. A lot of recruiting information is open for interpretation and I feel part of the problem is that anything good people take as gospel, anything bad that comes along people take as gospel.
When you have been following recruiting for this long, you learn to trust those who you trust and take everything with a grain of salt no matter what. Hell, nothing is final until a recruit faxes in that LOI. I never thought I would see something like the Snider signing day flip but it happened. I never thought I would see something like the hat trick, but it happened. That has led me to believe that nothing is impossible with recruiting and there is no point to worry about details until it is final.
A lot of people I highly respect were saying Williams was a matter of time, he had already verballed but was waiting to come public until after his HS season. As we all saw, that time table completely went up in smoke as he committed publicly way earlier than expected.
A lot of people I highly respect are saying very good things about both Tilmon and Goodwin. There are wide variances between that info, but nearly all of it is positive. I am not going to give up on the potential of good news because I am trained to expect a big ol' nutpunch to come, but I am also taking that all with a grain of salt until something happens.
Long story short, I feel too many people either are too new to following recruiting or just want to believe every rumor out there and to that I recommend enjoying it but not to let it consume your life (i.e. checking the board every 5 minutes asking for new info until Wednesday for example).
Either it is going to happen or it won't. If it does that poster does not become the newest "insider", but they are someone you should look twice when they post for good reason. If nothing happens, they are not a fraud (because if you actually look back at their posting history they have been spot on a lot of things).
As someone who was on campus for the highest of the highs when we made the Nation Title game run, this has been just the absolute worst 10+ year stretch of following a team I can remember. My expectations are as low as they have ever been, so we shall see as well.
I suggest Dan makes this required reading before one is allowed to post in this thread
Well said, Kramer.