Tough being a non top 100 HS kid right now, these schools aren't handing out scholarships to those kids anymore ... They will just wait on the portal
I just don't think this is going to be the case in the long term. It's still about the numbers and they have to come from somewhere. The transfer portal competition is going to get more intense. Now with a fixed window it's going to play out in some odd ways.
I also wonder how these transfers are going to get integrated into new systems. Coaches may end up wishing they didn't have so many transfers.
Oddly enough, I think some of these kids might be better at a lower tier school in a smaller conference. Look at Podz. If we had lost him in the recruiting process and then he was putting up 15+ a game at Santa Clara, we'd be talking about him transferring. So while it's "tough" for the top 100 guy it might be a blessing. More minutes at a school they belong at while still having the ability to enter the portal themselves.