Give me some perspective. Other than the "bluebloods" what is the average?
The calculations will be very different pre/post 1983(?) when the tournament went to 48 and then 64 teams. Before that you had to win your conference to make the tournament, so the percentage of smaller conferences teams in the s16 was much higher. (At least 10 from non-power conferences by definition.)
Looking at the numbers since 1983, we seem to be about average for a non-blue blood power conference member. Maybe a tad above.
A back of the envelope calculation:
- Assume 3/4 of the blue bloods make the S16 on average each year. (Duke, Kansas, Kentucky, UNC.)
- Throw in 1-2 non-power conference teams each year.
That leaves 11-12 slots for the rest of the P6 teams.
- The P6 conferences had ~64 teams until recently. Call it 60 teams plus 4 blue bloods.
12 slots / 60 power conference teams = 20%
11 slots / 60 = 18.2%
Since 1983 we have had eight S16 or better. 8/39yrs = 20.5%.