Illinois Hoops Recruiting Thread

#751      
assuming Aberdeen isn't coming back, then they are a decent shooting guard from being really scary. fland could take a jump and we already know what they have in the front court. if they got milan from Iowa State then that's a super team and clear preseason 1

Agreed - shooting or point guard, doesn't really matter to me. I'm not really the biggest Fland guy, but he certainly has the talent to improve.

If Christian Anderson enters the portal and goes there as was rumored... Lord.
 
#752      
1. Mirk
2. Tomi
3. Drej
4. Coleman
5. Vaaks
6. Jake
7. Big Z
8. Morillo
9. Brown

I get why you don't want to count Brown but for the same reason you don't count him, people on here were not counting Wagler and Davis. Which brings us down to 8 being the rotation in most people's minds last year at this time. Don't believe me? Here's what the discourse was like:

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The post just says lower his minutes. Davis counts. If Morillo counts this year Davis counts last year.

Davis proved he could be playable on the 25 team. Brown hasn’t proven that. Outside of Wagler - which will never happen again - who’s the last freshmen outside the top 100 to get real minutes here? We saw it with Lee, it ain’t easy (and quite the gamble to be counting on it).
 
#753      
Anyone trying to measure teams at this point, especially placing “Super Team” labels on them, is likely to be extremely wrong.

Look at last year’s preseason AP poll:

Michigan and Arizona “Super Teams” were ranked 7th and 13th

The top 3 (Purdue, Florida, Houston) didn’t even make it past the S16

So if it’s that difficult to know which teams will be dominant and which teams won’t in November, then what sense is there to start assigning Super Team labels in freaking April?
It just re-enforces the point that no one hangs banners for pre-season rankings...and The Tournament is still madness.

The key is to show up to the Dance often, and with enough DUDEs to get the job done. Even then, it's still going to end in disappointment most of the time.

We have the DUDEs. (...perhaps need a couple more dudes)

Time to get to work.

This could be our year... but contrary to how a lot of folks are acting, it won't be our ONLY year.

Our coach is doing a great job of balancing what we need now, with what we will need moving forward. I think we should appreciate that a bit more.

This program is doing all the right things, and is in tremendous shape to keep us on the short list of elite programs for many years to come.
 
#754      
But who is Floridas 9th man???? Once fland blows out his knee they are probably a 9 seed unless they convince Blackwell to back him up for 10 mpg

What happens when haugh regresses like TKR and nobody else on their roster gets better over an entire summer???
didn't you see it was posted earlier. Billy Donovan has their 8th and 9th spots locked up. they good
 
#755      
People in here need to understand that the talent across college basketball next year is not going to be the same as this year. There is not going to be an Arizona or Michigan like superteam, the transfers aren't as good overall, and the recruits aren't as high end compared to last year in terms of the elites.

Illinois has one of the four or five best rosters is the country. Could they push and add another stud? Sure, but it's not that easy. There are agents and other factors involved with that. I still stand by my thinking that they add someone over the next few months.

There are a ton of teams that have half a roster filled out with not a lot of options left, including blue bloods. It's okay to want more, but we are set to contend for a national championship next year. Have some faith in the evaluations that the staff made in Coleman and Morillo.
I have a high level of confidence that a good portion of the people on here WILL NOT understand this. Haha!
 
#756      
here we go batman GIF

Anyone want to take a stab at the minute distribution / projected stat lines 🤣
I'm just waiting for the annual "since we're gonna go 10 deep in the rotation, Brad should just switch out all 5 hockey-line style" comments
 
#757      
Hope Coleman can transition from a small private school in St. Louis County, MO to the BIG. The change in completion will be a huge change for him. Being Wagler 2.0 would be like finding 2 needles in 2 haystacks or discovering 2 matching snowflakes. Sure hope he is IT. Wagler has certainly spoiled us.
A 5-star recruit coming in and contributing right away is a far cry from Wagler’s performance this year on a lowly 3-star rating. That said, if Coleman were to be 90% of Wagler, I think everybody would be surprised. Wagler is the best freshman in Illinois history, regardless of HS ranking, so that’s a very high bar to place on an incoming freshman.
 
#759      
I'm not concerned about the eighth option, and while I wouldn't use the word "crazy", I would say it's "risky" to expect a #27 recruit to be our fifth option because not many freshman around #27 were good enough to be the fifth option on a really good team last year. Arizona, UConn, and Florida all had guys in this range, and they were #8-9 in minutes played. That's saying nothing about Coleman himself- he might be great and people said much worse things about Keaton last year. It's just my perspective on roster risk.

Bringing in a star (or anyone meaningfully better than Jake) and planning for Jake & Coleman to come off the bench would be an upgrade (at least regarding risk; nothing is guaranteed). Without that, Jake is our "floor" if Coleman needs more time to adjust. And that's not a bad option, but it just adds more pressure for our top four to take bigger steps forward if we want to reach another level.

If we tried and/or are trying to get such a player, then it seems like the staff at least agrees that there's room for an upgrade. If they can't find the right player who wants to come here, that's a bummer, but it doesn't mean wanting more is crazy either.
Arizona’s 5th leading scoring Kharchenkov was a freshman 4 star recruit. Michigan’s 5th leading scorer was a freshman ranked 21st. Our leading scorer was a freshman ranked 150th.
 
#761      
The post just says lower his minutes. Davis counts. If Morillo counts this year Davis counts last year.

Davis proved he could be playable on the 25 team. Brown hasn’t proven that. Outside of Wagler - which will never happen again - who’s the last freshmen outside the top 100 to get real minutes here? We saw it with Lee, it ain’t easy (and quite the gamble to be counting on it).
What are "real minutes"?
Coleman Hawkins got about 6 min a game in 20-21. (167)
Goode snuck in at #98, and played 9 minutes a game.
DGL got about 7 mpg. (#148)

With a kid like Lee, I'm just not sure what his elite skill is...
With Brown, you can watch about 5 seconds of tape and see what his elite skill is.
 
#765      
What are "real minutes"?
Coleman Hawkins got about 6 min a game in 20-21. (167)
Goode snuck in at #98, and played 9 minutes a game.
DGL got about 7 mpg. (#148)

With a kid like Lee, I'm just not sure what his elite skill is...
With Brown, you can watch about 5 seconds of tape and see what his elite skill is.
For much of last year's cycle, I was consistently talking people off the ledge by saying, hey, we have two good freshmen coming in, too, that will get a good amount of minutes. The same is true this year. And that's before we even talk about Ethan Brown.
 
#766      
I think some feel there's an imaginary line between "playable" and "unplayable". As if after Z, Drej, and Ben there was no one who was capable to get on the court.

I think Brandon Lee was absolutely capable to give you minutes, but Brad has an 8-man rotation, and outside of foul trouble/injury, that's what he's gonna stick with.
the only argument against is that he didn't see an uptick when guys were out. That's not *that* uncommon though, if you know an absence is temporary, you just tighten it up with the permanent players rather than try and integrate a new guy into the mix and possibly mess up the chemistry.

I said this in another context recently - it's *really* hard to be a "9th man" in the NCAA game. Minutes are going to be sporadic at that point, and not everyone is able to make the most of spot duty to push their way into a bigger role. Davis is an example of someone who kinda did that in 2024-25. A lot of guys flounder by trying to do too much and get themselves a permanent seat on the bench. If you come in trying to score a bunch and prove your worth, you're getting in the way, if you're just jogging up and down getting your cardio in, well why not re-allocate those minutes back to the higher impact guys. Only 40 minute games, long half-time break, built-in TV timeouts, there really isn't much reason to go beyond 8 and it's often more straightforward to just go lighter.
 
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#768      
I think some feel there's an imaginary line between "playable" and "unplayable". As if after Z, Drej, and Ben there was no one who was capable to get on the court.

I think Brandon Lee was absolutely capable to give you minutes, but Brad has an 8-man rotation, and outside of foul trouble/injury, that's what he's gonna stick with.
I’m old enough to remember when Andrej was “unplayable.”
 
#769      
I think some feel there's an imaginary line between "playable" and "unplayable". As if after Z, Drej, and Ben there was no one who was capable to get on the court.

I think Brandon Lee was absolutely capable to give you minutes, but Brad has an 8-man rotation, and outside of foul trouble/injury, that's what he's gonna stick with.
Lee wasn't good enough to get in when he was the number 2 guard on the team and we only had 6 guys playing and kept turning the ball over because we didn't have guard play. He was expected pre season to be able to give at least some quality minutes. He wasn't.

That line of quality is a shifting point based on the product on the floor. We were better than expected so lee wasnt good enough. If you just go on projections based on ratings, Coleman isnt good enough to see the floor this year at Duke. We are improving as a program so average may no longer be good enough to get you minutes. If we continue on an upward trend good won't be enough, and if we aim be a championship quality program then eventually great may not be good enough.
 
#772      
Anyone trying to measure teams at this point, especially placing “Super Team” labels on them, is likely to be extremely wrong.

Look at last year’s preseason AP poll:

Michigan and Arizona “Super Teams” were ranked 7th and 13th

The top 3 (Purdue, Florida, Houston) didn’t even make it past the S16

So if it’s that difficult to know which teams will be dominant and which teams won’t in November, then what sense is there to start assigning Super Team labels in freaking April?
I dunno man... this Florida team is legitimately stacked.

 
#773      
I don't think anyone gets annoyed with the initial line of questioning about why not sign Blackwell, or why not recruit a backup guard. I think it gets old continuously and thoroughly answering for the reasoning behind Blackwell most likely not coming here and not getting a backup PG at this point. They're recruiting guys who are multi-dimensional and can be serviceable or good in many or all positions. It's a luxury to have good guards, and winning the lottery to also have your 3 and 4 who can bring the ball up. It makes it so you don't really have to have a backup point guard.

There's a good reason Petrovic didn't play last year. He is an elite distributor, but proved that he couldn't grow elsewhere and fit in multiple positions.

I think the frustration more so comes from having to answer the same questions over and over again. It's like if you have a work meeting and someone chooses not to pay attention the whole meeting and then continues to ask basic questions that were already answered. It's annoying and it holds back the whole group, and there's probably more interesting or productive things to talk about then burning more oxygen on something that's already been put to bed.
So, maybe a simple “asked and answered” response would work? Certainly seems more productive than shouting down people who don’t seem to tow the company line. Isn’t a fan forum supposed to be an exchange of opinions?
 
#774      
Program is going in the right direction but still a lot of room for growth. Hard to compete yearly for championships if we can only max out at 1 top recruit per team before they bolt.
That depends on (a) your definition of top recruit, and (b) what retention looks like.

Vaaks is a top recruit in the sense that he is a very good newcomer. He just came from the transfer portal. By that measure, we have Coleman, Morillo, and Vaaks (remember, Morillo is top 50, so is no slouch). Plus, you never really know who is going to blow up. Wagler wasn't considered a top recruit last year, and now he's a lottery pick.

Plus, we retained so much from last year that we have less need for high-impact freshmen or transfers. That doesn't mean zero need, but we don't need to reload the team with fresh recruits that have to carry the load.
 
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