Rough crowd.Last time a top 5 ranked non-con opponent visited SFC (AH) it went really well for us.
Not sure if I 100% believe this...I have exhausted myself looking at every defensive, offensive. rebounding algorithm and BU doesn't make adjustments angle. My very thorough analysis says if we hit 45% of 2's 34% of 3's and 70% of FT's, we have an 80% chance of winning.
Should have been the severely underrated Arizona team in '21-'22.He said non-con. I do believe that is the last game including conference that we won at home against a top 5 team
Only I have exhausted myself looking at every defensive, offensive. rebounding algorithm and BU doesn't make adjustments angle. My very thorough analysis says if we hit 45% of 2's 34% of 3's and 70% of FT's, we have an 80% chance of winning.
I kinda think we match up well. On paper, Shannon is an answer for Kam Jones and Hawkins is about as good a matchup we can ask for against Ighadoro. They don't have an answer for a physical big in the post like Dain. You make a good point that their speed and ball pressure could cause us fits. Ty indeed needs to bring his A game tonight. But If I'm a Marquette fan, I'm worried about our size & athleticism.Unfortunately, I think this is fairly bad matchup for us. Quick experienced guards, good shooters, and a team that will be applying ample if not smothering ball pressure. In order to win this one, we're going to need Ty to have an A game and Goode and Domask to make the shots they get and play strong defense. TSJ and CoHawk going off like they did against Kansas also would be appreciated. This is going to be a tough one, but it definitely will let us know where this team is at and where our ceiling might be this year as Marquette is a team that can punish our weaknesses. In any case, should be a good one, and hoping we can pull it out.
Pretty much. I saw that IU has 10 new players on its roster.My two bits is don't make TOO much out of the game either way. After watching the Illini, and CBB in general for 50 years (yeah, I'm that old - but not much grey hair, yet) my observation is the best Illini teams gel somewhere around January. Now more than ever in the transfer portal era it seems like every season is a tear-down and rebuild and the team and coaches spend a long time getting acquainted with each players strengths and weaknesses in game action as opposed to practice. Last year's team seemed to become more divided as the year progressed. In the Ayo era, they always seemed to get on a roll when the conference season started, but that was also a testament to Ayo's leadership, determination, and ability to hit the key shot when we really needed it. I know, I know, what about March Madness? A one and done tournament is truly the thrill of victory and the agony of defeat,,, I'll worry about that tomorrow, because tomorrow is another day.
Pretty weird roster construction over there, so many front court players and shooting doesn't seem like a strength for that squadPretty much. I saw that IU has 10 new players on its roster.
I disagree. Illinois can go toe to toe with anyone in the country athletically and length wise. Marquette also doesn't run the same Havoc defense that Shake got famous with.Unfortunately, I think this is fairly bad matchup for us. Quick experienced guards, good shooters, and a team that will be applying ample if not smothering ball pressure. In order to win this one, we're going to need Ty to have an A game and Goode and Domask to make the shots they get and play strong defense. TSJ and CoHawk going off like they did against Kansas also would be appreciated. This is going to be a tough one, but it definitely will let us know where this team is at and where our ceiling might be this year as Marquette is a team that can punish our weaknesses. In any case, should be a good one, and hoping we can pull it out.
I agree with 85% of thisI have exhausted myself looking at every defensive, offensive. rebounding algorithm and BU doesn't make adjustments angle. My very thorough analysis says if we hit 45% of 2's 34% of 3's and 70% of FT's, we have an 80% chance of winning.
So, what you're saying is:Watched some of the Marquette highlights vs NIU. I agree I think we match up just fine on paper. But at this point I think Marquette passes better than we do, which means they will probably get better looks on average. And I also think they shoot better than we do, so I imagine they will make more of them.
Basically, they look like a more cohesive group who brought back 8 of their top 9 (from a championship team), and I think we are still figuring some things out. If we continue to get better and find a groove defensively, it could be a different story come march. But right now I think they’re just a little bit ahead of us.
Side note, NIU looks pretty good. Don’t know where they are picked in the MAC but wouldn’t surprise me if they make a run in the MAC tourney and push for a tourney birth.
I agree with 85% of this
You keep talking like this and you might just become the next commentator replacement for Bill Walton.I did a deep dive into the statistical analysis of the Illini and compared it to Marquette. I evaluated Rebounds, Assists, Block, Steals, Turnovers, 3 Pointers Made, Free Throws Made, 2 Point FG %, 3 Point FG %, Fast Break Points, 3 Point Frequency, Assist/Turnover Ratio, Bench Points, Defensive Efficiency, Efficiency Margin, Points Per Possession, Points off Turnovers, Rebound Margin, Rebound Percentage, and Second Chance Points. I found out that if the Illini score more points than Marquette, we will win.
Great Post..."Last year's team seemed to become more divided as the year progressed."My two bits is don't make TOO much out of the game either way. After watching the Illini, and CBB in general for 50 years (yeah, I'm that old - but not much grey hair, yet) my observation is the best Illini teams gel somewhere around January. Now more than ever in the transfer portal era it seems like every season is a tear-down and rebuild and the team and coaches spend a long time getting acquainted with each players strengths and weaknesses in game action as opposed to practice. Last year's team seemed to become more divided as the year progressed. In the Ayo era, they always seemed to get on a roll when the conference season started, but that was also a testament to Ayo's leadership, determination, and ability to hit the key shot when we really needed it. I know, I know, what about March Madness? A one and done tournament is truly the thrill of victory and the agony of defeat,,, I'll worry about that tomorrow, because tomorrow is another day.