Week of 2/5 Games Thread

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#351      

RockfordIllini

R
RockfordIllini
Wisconsin still a very good team, but their shooting has cooled off. Felt like they were on a team wide heater the first half of BIG season. Part of that is they do run great offense that generates open looks. But you still have to make them and it appears their shooting has finally come back to earth.

Amazing how much better a team looks when the ball goes in. The fact that we’ve hung tight or managed to win some games against some pretty good teams when we aren’t making shots bodes well. Still need to clean a few things up defensively.

Really need more Q1 wins so need the MSU game on Saturday. But good news is we will at worst be tied for second no matter what.
 
#353      

Captain 14

C
The Last Best Place
Captain 14
Second place is 1st loser said:
This is something to keep an eye on. We really struggle to keep quick PGs in front of us and to chase the three point line.

A lot of people are sarcastic during the game threads saying "shocking, another player having a career day against us".

This is not a tongue in cheek situation now. It's a problem and it was last year as well. Have to figure that out. Can't have that happen in a one and done.
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True that. But it seemed he was on the bench as much as he was on the floor. NW did a good job chasing him around.
 
#356      

aaeismacgychel

A
aaeismacgychel
For those worrying at this point about the weakness of the B10, or our resume, just understand there still is a long way to go. In our final 9 games of the regular season we have about 4-5 Quad 1 games left including 3 Quad1A opportunities. And depending how things shake out, we might get an additional Quad 1 game in the BTT prior to the Semis at which point our resume for most functional purposes is locked.

Point is,
@MSU Q1A
Mich Q3
@MD Q1/2 Cusp
@PSU Q2
Iowa Q2
Minn Q2/3 Cusp
@Wisc Q1A
Pur Q1A
@Iowa Q1

will determine our seed and resume. That's a tough schedule to finish the season on, but plenty of opportunities to boost the resume. 2-3 in Q1 and 6-3 overall should keep us on the 4 line depending on how others do. 3-2 in Q1 and 7-2 overall should put us firmly on the 3 line. Anything better and we're really cooking. Worse than 6-3 and/or a bad loss to Michigan and we'll start falling. Wisconsin losing shouldn't affect our seed- they're not going to fall out of Q1 and are unlikely to fall out of Q1A. If we both take care of business, there could be one of those rare corner cases where a BTT semifinal matchup between us and them could actually matter and be a difference between a 2/3 seed and a swapped pod.

Other than that, just keep winning and seed will take care of itself. The weakness of the B10 shouldn't affect us much, but it will really punish the bubble teams.
 
#357      

altgeld88

altgeld88
Arlington, Virginia
altgeld88
uofi7477 said:
Not as old as me though as I consider Petty just a Byrds knockoff.
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I'm at the office today and so lacking my GIF library, but I'd trot out the Ron Burgundy "Agree to Disagree" one as he's debating the origin of "San Diego" with Veronica Corningstone. ;)
 
#361      

lstewart53x3

lstewart53x3
Scottsdale, Arizona
lstewart53x3
JSpence said:
Say it as loudly and confidently as you want, but it doesn't make it true.

We control our own destiny within the Big Ten. We do not control our own destiny in the NET.

Though conference games are largely a wash, it's not some perfect balance. If the top teams in our conference start looking mediocre, that affects us, too.
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We play Wisconsin one time. That game is on the road.

Going into the Michigan game Wisconsin was 13 in NET. After losing to Michigan, they dropped to 15 in NET.

Because our only game against Wisconsin is on the road, to stay a Q1 game, Wisconsin must stay in the top 75. To stay a Q1A game, Wisconsin must stay in the top 40.

Wisconsin just lost to the worst team in the conference and it only dropped them 2 spots in NET. For them to fall all the way down to 41 and no longer be a Q1A game, they’d likely have to lose out and not just lose games, but lose them badly.

So my original statement is 100% true. In no way does Wisconsin losing to Michigan decrease our chances of a 3 seed.
 
#362      

Illini2010-11

I
Sugar Grove
Illini2010-11
lstewart53x3 said:
We play Wisconsin one time. That game is on
So my original statement is 100% true. In no way does Wisconsin losing to Michigan decrease our chances of a 3 seed.
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Yeah, if anything, it gives Illini a leg up on Wisconsin for seeding. The team that might have the biggest impact on Illini is Maryland. The original hope was that they could play their way into top 75 NET, to make the home loss a Quad 2 loss and make the return matchup a Quad 1 game. Unfortunately, it appears to be a near lock for Quad 3 loss and Quad 2 road game (Maryland hovering around 100).

Wisconsin loss to Michigan will have no negative consequence for our seeding purposes (anyone who says otherwise does not understand how the Selection Committee operates or how NET is calculated), unless of course they completely collapse and road game in Madison does not become Quad 1-A (extremely improbable at this point).
 
#365      

jumpingjack

J
jumpingjack
altgeld88 said:
I'm at the office today and so lacking my GIF library, but I'd trot out the Ron Burgundy "Agree to Disagree" one as he's debating the origin of "San Diego" with Veronica Corningstone. ;)
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Whale GIF
 
#367      

Fighter of the Nightman

Fighter of the Nightman
Chicago, IL
Fighter of the Nightman
Reminder of the current Big Ten standings before we head into the weekend games (only Iowa/PSU play tonight)!

Purdue: 10-2
Illinois: 8-3
Wisconsin: 8-4
Northwestern: 7-5
Minnesota: 6-5
Indiana: 6-6
Michigan State: 6-6
Nebraska: 6-7
Iowa: 5-6
Penn State: 5-6
Maryland: 5-7
Rutgers: 4-7
Ohio State: 3-9
Michigan: 3-9

And here are this weekend's games with "seeds" for where each team is in the standings:

Thursday 2/8
#9 Iowa at #10 Penn State

Saturday 2/10
#6 Indiana at #1 Purdue
#2 Illinois at #7 Michigan State
#3 Wisconsin at #12 Rutgers
#11 Maryland at #13 Ohio State
#14 Michigan at #8 Nebraska

Sunday 2/11
#10 Penn State at #4 Northwestern
#5 Minnesota at #9 Iowa

A couple pivotal games this weekend.
- If I am a Wisconsin fan, I am feeling really nervous that my team that just lost in Ann Arbor goes into the RAC in desperation mode to play an RU team that just won two straight Big Ten road games. Wiscy might shoot its Big Ten title hopes with a loss in Piscataway.
- There are quite a few games that will help to separate the middle of the conference from the bottom, which will matter come BTT time. Teams like Iowa, Minnesota, Rutgers, etc. are all going to be jockeying to stay out of that Wednesday game club with OSU and Michigan.
- Needless to say, a massive opportunity for our Illini. To go into East Lansing and get to 9-3 and keep pace with Purdue (and possibly fully distance ourselves from Wisconsin as the clear #2) would be quite the statement.
 
#370      

illinifan1987

illinifan1987
illinifan1987
Should be an interesting game between Arizona and Utah. If I were a betting man, I'd take the Utes. If I bet dangerously, I'd say the difference is 8-10. 🤑
 
#373      

LouHenson

LouHenson
LouHenson
Finishing ahead of Wisconsin most likely lands us in Memphis. Them ahead of us gets them Omaha. The trailer goes wherever a 4/5 seed is needed pretty simple to me? We need 2 of @MD, @MSU, @Wisonsin and home versus Purdue to really have that chance. That says nothing about our other away games which will be required wins to stay in front of Wisconsin.
 
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