After 3:00 games update:
Illinois did their part today, but Virginia and SMU didn’t do us any favors (both lost games they were winning…). As of now, there are four games remaining, and we need to go 4-0 for a “guarantee”, 3-1 with some help, or 2-2 with some miracles going our way.
A couple updates regarding the “exactness” of this.
First, I thought Hawaii at 6-7 was subject to APR rules, which would benefit us. However, they just need to apply for a waiver, on which the NCAA would then determine their bowl eligibility. That’s a BIG wildcard…
Second, the NCAA will be releasing an updated APR list this week. I don’t think much will change based on the history of the teams in the 5-7 bowl hunt, but it may affect some things.
Game Time (CST): | Needs to Win: | Needs to Lose: | Invites Remaining: 8 |
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Tue 6:00 PM | Buffalo - 3 | Ball State - 20 | 7 |
Thu 2:30 PM | Fresno State - 40 | San Jose State - 9 | 7 |
Fri 11:00 AM | Kansas State - 17 | Texas - 22 | 6 |
Fri 2:30 PM ESPN+ | Coastal Carolina - 27 | South Alabama - 21 | 6 |
Fri 3:30 PM FS1 | Iowa State - 48 | TCU - 14 | 6 |
Sat 11:00 AM ESPN | Florida - 24 | Florida State - 21 | 6 |
Sat 11:00 AM BTN | Rutgers - 16 | Maryland - 40 | 5 |
Sat 1:00 PM ESPN+ | UTSA - 23 | North Texas - 45 | 4 |
Sat 1:00 PM ESPN+ | Georgia State - 37 | Troy - 10 | 4 |
Sat 2:45 PM ACCN | Virginia - 24 | Virginia Tech - 29 | 3 |
Sat 3:00 PM ESPN2 | SMU - 31 | Tulsa - 34 | 2 |
Sat 6:00 PM ESPN | Texas A&M | LSU | |
Sat 6:00 PM | Middle Tennessee | Florida Atlantic | |
Sat 6:00 PM FS1 | Kansas | West Virginia | |
Sat 6:30 PM ACCN | Pitt | Syracuse | |
If both Cal and USC win on Saturday, then one of them is guaranteed a bowl invite. If they both lose, then neither will receive one. If only one wins, then we will be rooting against that team next week. For this week, let's just root against both.
Game Time (CST): | Needs to Win: | Needs to Lose: |
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Sat 9:30 PM ESPN | UCLA | Cal |
Sat 9:30 PM FS1 | BYU | USC |