I think that definitive judgement is made this year. Our roster has been in flux and everyone has been injured. Everybody but Abrams is his guy that he recruited to his system. And Abrams fits that anyway. If he can't do it now, then he probably won't be able to do it. We have experienced backups that he recruited as well.
If he is good this year, and we have that Tilmon led class coming in, we should hit a nice patch of high level consistency for a couple years. If we get Wilkes and Kiir in our dream world, and somehow keep that team together for two years, we'd be extremely dangerous for 3 consecutive years including this one. Hopefully the recruiting floodgates open by that point we snowball back to where we all feel Illinois should be.