Illinois Hoops Recruiting Thread

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#51      
Could you explain why you wouldn't want a guy who averaged 20/7/3 and shot 40% from 3?
He went to high school in the Metro-East. Everyone north of I-80 knows they play weak competition down here.
 
#52      

Illin618

I forgot the last i in my username
Southern IL
He went to high school in the Metro-East. Everyone north of I-80 knows they play weak competition down here.
Ouch...
Arrested Development Crying GIF by HULU
 
#53      
Basketball has shifted in the past 10 years. The tempo has increased. And teams that score the ball have been rewarded. Yes you can’t have an awful defense and win (Duke/Iowa) but you simply have to be a top offense team anymore. It’s the reason the big ten is routinely exposed in the tourney. We don’t score enough. 2021 UCLA is a prime example. They were 11th in OFF and 46th in defense and made the final four. In 6 games in the tourney they averaged 76 ppg (season average was 73). While giving up 67 ppg (their season average was 68). They went over their averages on offense and met their defensive averages. But came in as an 11. Because the PAC12 plays a more uptempo style of offense which leads to more tourney wins.
Amen. That's why I picked Iowa for my Final Four. Worked like a charm.
 
#55      

MDchicago

Lake Norman NC
Basketball has shifted in the past 10 years. The tempo has increased. And teams that score the ball have been rewarded. Yes you can’t have an awful defense and win (Duke/Iowa) but you simply have to be a top offense team anymore. It’s the reason the big ten is routinely exposed in the tourney. We don’t score enough. 2021 UCLA is a prime example. They were 11th in OFF and 46th in defense and made the final four.

Not based on the tempo of NCAA champions. Champs in the 10 tournaments held between 2002-2011 had an adjusted tempo of 68.8 possessions (with 4 champs over 70), while the champions in the last 10 tournaments (2012-2022) had an adjusted tempo of 66.2 possessions (with only 1 champ over 70 and 1 under 60). I'm not suggesting that one tempo is better/worse, just pointing out that tempo of NCAA champions has decreased on average over the last decade compared to the prior one.

Championship teams almost always have/need both great offense and great defense, with 19 of the last top 20 NCAA champions being in the top 22 in both adjusted offensive and adjusted defensive efficiency. The only exception being 2014 UConn (in a broken bracket tournament with a 7 seed playing a 8 seed for the title), which was top 10 in adjusted defensive efficiency but only 39th in adjusted offensive efficiency.
 
#56      
Basketball has shifted in the past 10 years. The tempo has increased. And teams that score the ball have been rewarded. Yes you can’t have an awful defense and win (Duke/Iowa) but you simply have to be a top offense team anymore. It’s the reason the big ten is routinely exposed in the tourney. We don’t score enough. 2021 UCLA is a prime example. They were 11th in OFF and 46th in defense and made the final four. In 6 games in the tourney they averaged 76 ppg (season average was 73). While giving up 67 ppg (their season average was 68). They went over their averages on offense and met their defensive averages. But came in as an 11. Because the PAC12 plays a more uptempo style of offense which leads to more tourney wins.
Not sure you can draw a strong conclusion from your Prime example 2021 UCLA. But they did hold a one seed to less than one point per possession to reach the final four. Not a result that you’d expect from the 46th best defense in the country.
 
#59      
Not sure you can draw a strong conclusion from your Prime example 2021 UCLA. But they did hold a one seed to less than one point per possession to reach the final four. Not a result that you’d expect from the 46th best defense in the country.
The tournament itself plays defense for you. The pressure, tough shooting environments, officiating. Teams hardly play their typical offense games. But the teams that meet or exceed their typical offense output tend to have better success. Compared to those who muck it up. The tourney itself mucks up games.

But this conversation has dragged on and I don’t wanna take up too much space. My overall point is that I could care less about a transfers defensive abilities when we return 13PPG from a team that was already 30th in offense last season.
 
#60      

altgeld88

Arlington, Virginia
"Offense wins games, Defense wins championships" - attributed to Bear Bryant, the philosophy adopted by many successful coaches including Geno Auriemma who also said "To win a championship, you not only have to be good, you have to be lucky."
A good friend, who was a teammate of Gary Williams on Maryland in the '60s, noted several years ago that Gary told him the same thing about talent, luck and Nattys after MD took the '02 title.
 
#62      
Tony Bennett's squad that won it all in 2019 certainly didn't play with a high tempo... They were efficient, but deliberately slow. (they ranked 327th in average FG attempts that season)
And we’re the second best offense team in the country according to KenPom. The pace doesn’t matter as much if you are efficient.
 

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#63      
So any recruiting news? Any idea if there is a mutual interest between the Illini and Malachi Smith or specifically anyone else? We certainly have have some spots to fill.
 
#66      
When someone says: to win a championship, a great offense is more important than a great defense. What they're probably not saying: defense isn't important.

When someone says: defense wins championships. What they're probably not saying: offense isn't important.
And both would be foolishly...and categorically... wrong.
 
#68      

MDchicago

Lake Norman NC
And were the second best offense team in the country according to KenPom. The pace doesn’t matter as much if you are efficient.

Note that 2019 Virginia was elite in terms of efficiency both offensively (2nd) and defensively (5th), and clear number 1 in KenPom efficiency margin ratings pre and post tournament.

Agree efficiency (offensive and defensive) matters more than tempo, as teams have won championships with a wide range of tempos, ranking as high as 6th (2009 UNC) and as low as 353rd (2019 UVA) over the last 20 tournaments, with an average adjusted tempo rank of 134th (slightly faster than the middle D1 team).
 
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#71      
Note that 2019 Virginia was elite in terms of efficiency both offensively (2nd) and defensively (5th), and clear number 1 in KenPom efficiency margin ratings pre and post tournament.

Agree efficiency (offensive and defensive) matters more than tempo, as teams have won championships with a wide range of tempos, ranking as high as 6th (2009 UNC) and as low as 353rd (2019 UVA) over the last 20 tournaments, with an average adjusted tempo rank of 134th (slightly faster than the middle D1 team).
Agreed. I guess I have PTSD from our last three tourney games where we have shot 39% from the field and 23% from three. I’d rather lose scoring 70+ than 53 points. I agree with your points. But given our lack of proven scores on this team. I think it would be foolish to look defense first.
 
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#72      
He went to high school in the Metro-East. Everyone north of I-80 knows they play weak competition down here.
Sarcasm? I know the SW conference isn't the Chicago public league but he was sandwiched between Lidell and the Pickett/Smith/tilmon trio. I'm sure BWest played a stronger schedule when he was there due to Lidell being around.
 
#73      

The Sprouting Divot

Invisible and Bulletproof
Miracle Mile
Note that 2019 Virginia was elite in terms of efficiency both offensively (2nd) and defensively (5th), and clear number 1 in KenPom efficiency margin ratings pre and post tournament.
Also note that this team, while obviously statistically impressive and the eventual national champion, was often absolutely disgusting to watch.
 
#74      
The tournament itself plays defense for you. The pressure, tough shooting environments, officiating. Teams hardly play their typical offense games. But the teams that meet or exceed their typical offense output tend to have better success. Compared to those who muck it up. The tourney itself mucks up games.

But this conversation has dragged on and I don’t wanna take up too much space. My overall point is that I could care less about a transfers defensive abilities when we return 13PPG from a team that was already 30th in offense last season.

Would you agree that we have lost a lot more defense than offense this offseason?

And would you agree that, in general, younger players struggle more on defense than offense?
 
#75      
Sarcasm? I know the SW conference isn't the Chicago public league but he was sandwiched between Lidell and the Pickett/Smith/tilmon trio. I'm sure BWest played a stronger schedule when he was there due to Lidell being around.
Definitely sarcasm. Everyone knows how good the Metro East is. Liddell, Mark Smith, Malachi Smith, Pickett, Goodwin, etc.
 
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