Recent content by urbanite

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    Pregame: Illinois at Purdue, Tuesday, January 21st, 6:00pm CT, ESPNU

    That would require some subjectivity in the application of the model. Sure, the model itself is subjective, but at least its application is objective. Anyway, Torvik's site can make predictions like this on a per-team basis. On the main rankings page, set the start date to the "light switch...
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    Pregame: Illinois vs Rutgers, Saturday, January 11th, 11:00am CT, BTN

    This has all the makings of a trap game for Illinois. Though it does make me feel better that Rutgers is 1-3 away from home. Could be a double-edged sword. He leads the team in 3P attempts while shooting 27% from outside. Rutgers is the worst 3P shooting team in the conference, and their...
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    Pregame: Illinois at Wisconsin, Wednesday, January 8th, 8:00pm CT, BTN

    It's worth noting that Torvik's default sort for player rankings is PORPAGATU (Points Over Replacement Per Adjusted Game At That Usage). So it's essentially a ranking of scoring ability. BPM (Box Plus Minus) reflects both offense and defense. By this metric, Griffin is #1 in the B10 and #5 in...
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    Pregame: Illinois vs Missouri, Saturday, December 21st, 12:00pm CT, SEC

    That's an understatement. Missouri's defensive efficiency is just below Michigan's, but their 3P% is way below. Michigan is at 38.5% (28th) while Missouri is at 26.6% (335th). Mark Smith is their only good 3P shooter at 41%. The rest of the team is shooting 21%. And for whatever reason, their 3P...
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    Pregame: Illinois vs Missouri, Saturday, December 21st, 12:00pm CT, SEC

    He led last year's team in steal percentage, but with only four total steals. He has no steals this year. Da'Monte and Trent are currently leading this year's team in steal percentage.
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    Pregame: Illinois vs Northwestern, Sunday, March 3rd, 5:30pm CT, BTN

    Or this one, where we opened the game with four straight threes and led 43-18 with a minute left in the first half. The second of those threes came off a loose ball that Hill chased down, barely saved at the baseline to Rice, who passed it back to Hill in the corner for the three.
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    Purdue 73, Illinois 56 POSTGAME

    No one in double figures and Giorgi's fewest points since November. Oh well. We'll have better games.
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    Game Thread: Illinois at Purdue

    Missed 13 of our last 14 3P attempts and only down by five? Not horrible.
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    Illinois 99, Rutgers 94 OT POSTGAME

    Thanks for that. I had to find the box score. What's crazy is that even beyond those players you mention, two other players combined for over 50 points. And the guy that scored 50 had 44 field goal attempts.
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    Pregame: Illinois at Ohio State, Thursday, February 14th, 6:00pm CT, ESPN2

    Yeah, I was wrong on Missouri and edited my post. Georgetown (NET 78) is still barely Q3, though. From this article: Quadrant 1: Home 1-30, Neutral 1-50, Away 1-75 Quadrant 2: Home 31-75, Neutral 51-100, Away 76-135 Quadrant 3: Home 76-160, Neutral 101-200, Away 135-240 Quadrant 4: Home...
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    Pregame: Illinois at Ohio State, Thursday, February 14th, 6:00pm CT, ESPN2

    The Georgetown and Xavier losses are currently Q3.
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    Pregame: Illinois vs Michigan State, Tuesday, February 5th, 6:00pm CT, ESPN2

    The stats suggest Illinois has been better than Michigan St. over the past three games. I think that's where the optimism comes from. If both teams play as they have recently, it's not unreasonable to expect Illinois has a chance to win.
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    Game Thread: Illinois vs Wisconsin

    Two fouls on Happ.
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    Game Thread: Illinois vs Wisconsin

    They can't shoot 100% forever.
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    Pregame: Illinois vs Wisconsin, Wednesday, January 23rd, 8:00pm CT, BTN

    Not sure which location you're referring to, but just so you know, the location on Kirby near Neil closed a few years ago.